Extinction Bounties

Policy-based deterrence for the 21st century.

Policy-Research Disclaimer (click to close)

Extinction Bounties publishes theoretical economic and legal mechanisms intended to stimulate scholarly and public debate on catastrophic-risk governance. The site offers policy analysis and advocacy only in the sense of outlining possible legislative or contractual frameworks.

  • No Legal or Financial Advice. Nothing here should be treated as a substitute for qualified legal counsel, financial due-diligence, or regulatory guidance. Stakeholders remain responsible for ensuring their actions comply with the laws and professional standards of their own jurisdictions.
  • Exploratory & Personal Views. All scenarios, numerical examples and opinions are research hypotheses presented by the author in an academic capacity. They do not represent the views of the author’s employer, funding bodies, or any governmental authority.
  • Implementation Caveats. Any real-world adoption of these ideas would require democratic deliberation, statutory authority, and robust safeguards to prevent misuse. References to enforcement, penalties, or “bounties” are illustrative models, not instructions or invitations to engage in private policing or unlawful conduct.
  • No Warranty & Limited Liability. Content is provided “as is” without warranty of completeness or accuracy; the author disclaims liability for losses arising from reliance on this material.

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Our 2-minute elevator pitch


07. Next Steps - Pilots, Law Drafts, and Public Buy-In

Fine-Insured Bounties (FIBs) offer a bold, market-driven way to deter high-risk behavior—especially around powerful technologies like AI. But even the best theoretical framework needs a practical path forward. So what should happen next?

Here are three concrete, actionable next steps:

1. Run Pilot Programs

Before applying FIBs to high-stakes areas like AI, we should test them in more controlled settings.

Candidate pilot areas include:

These domains already have legal boundaries, measurable harm, and known enforcement gaps—perfect testing grounds for FIB dynamics.

Goals of pilots:

Small-scale experiments, even just within a single state or sector, could yield vital insights about real-world dynamics—and build a playbook for larger deployments.

2. Draft Model Laws and Treaty Language

We need clear, modular legal frameworks that:

Model legislation can help lawmakers move quickly when ready, and it enables debate over specifics without starting from scratch.

On the international side, model treaty clauses can offer a template for future coordination—whether among democratic allies or via broader global forums.

3. Build Public Awareness and Support

FIBs may be unfamiliar or even counterintuitive to the average citizen. Public understanding and support are essential, especially for elected officials to back such policies.

That means:

People already respond well to stories of insiders exposing fraud, corruption, or danger. FIBs supercharge that energy—but they need a human face and a moral narrative to gain traction.

Public support also helps inoculate against early criticism or setbacks. No system is perfect out of the gate. Clear communication and transparency will be key.

The Road Ahead

FIBs are still a radical idea—but not untested. Pieces of the concept already exist in law, insurance, and incentive design. Now it’s time to combine those pieces in real-world settings.

With focused pilots, thoughtful legal drafting, and effective outreach, we can turn fine-insured bounties from theory into a viable, scalable tool for a safer technological future.